Executive Summary Introduction On April 4th, 2025, China imposed export controls on seven rare earth minerals and associated magnets in response to tariff increases by the United States. In the month these measures were formally in effect, American automakers, defense contractors, and technology firms experienced logistical delays, forced to scale back or even halt production at plants across North America. At the urging of hurt industries, the Trump Administration initiated negotiations in May, culminating in a 90-day tariff … Continue reading
Tag Archives: Economy
Wishing To Overhaul: American-Led WTO Reform Post-MC14
Executive Summary Introduction On Monday, March 30th, the MC14 meeting of WTO members in Yaoundé, Cameroon, came to an end. Occurring every two years, MCs allow member states to voice their concerns, negotiate new agreements under the WTO, and guide the organization’s priorities until the next MC. Contextualized by a broken dispute settlement mechanism and inflamed international protectionism, MC14 was … Continue reading
Pax Moo-ica: Supply Management and the USMCA
Executive Summary Introduction On December 17th, 2025, United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer outlined Washington’s objectives for the upcoming 2026 USMCA review before Congress. In what has become a predictable aim of the United States, it was Trade Representative Greer’s main agricultural grievance that drew attention from the Canadian media: the expansion of American dairy’s access to the supply-managed Canadian … Continue reading
Mercosur: An Integration Problem
Executive Summary Introduction On January 17th, 2026, Mercosur—a South American customs union comprising Argentina, Bolivia (partial-member), Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay—signed a landmark free trade agreement with the European Union. The deal is slated to remove around $4.8 billion in tariffs between the two economic blocs, leading to an estimated 39 percent annual growth in EU exports to Mercosur (from $72 billion in 2024 goods export) and the elimination of EU duties … Continue reading
Price Controls and Critical Minerals: Understanding the U.S.’s Rare Earth Economic Policies
Executive Summary: Introduction On October 9th, China imposed export controls on rare earth minerals and related technologies. Since then, rare earth minerals have been dominating news headlines, with many experts espousing the importance of reducing the U.S.’s dependence on China for these minerals. The Trump administration’s policies have heavily focused on rare earth minerals too; … Continue reading
Money Supply and the Current Account: Testing the Predictions of the AA-DD Model
Executive Summary: As part of his rationale for increasing tariffs, President Trump has focused on the U.S.’s trade deficits. Experts have long debated whether trade deficits matter; some argue a trade deficit simply signals that the region is attractive to foreign investment and has strong consumer demand, while others have instead contended that a trade … Continue reading
The Impact of AI Efficiency Gains on National Debt and Gross Domestic Product
Aryan Mirchandani Executive Summary Introduction Historically, only a few technological innovations have created anticipation that rivals the likes of artificial intelligence, which has catapulted the first phase of the new productivity revolution. Proponents of AI argue that it will streamline workflows, enhance decision-making, and unlock rapid efficiencies across wide-ranging industries. The Trump Administration is making … Continue reading
Betting on Trade: Prediction Markets & Tariff Uncertainty
Executive Summary: On February 1st, 2025, Trump signed an executive order imposing tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. Two days later, Trump agreed to a 30-day pause on these trade threats. Since then, Trump has announced a myriad of tariffs, many of which he has paused or completely revoked in the following days. … Continue reading
Trump’s policies will increase home prices in a long-suffering housing market
Executive Summary Introduction There is a housing supply shortage in the United States which is skyrocketing home prices. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s Home Ownership Affordability Monitor reached 64 for the total U.S. market in May 2025. This is the lowest number on record and well below 100, the benchmark for “affordable.” In January … Continue reading
Stablecoin Issuers as a Growing Class of Treasury Buyers: Implications and Risks
Executive Summary Introduction Congress’ recent passage of the GENIUS Act, the first significant regulatory framework for stablecoins, opens the door for increased crossover between traditional finance and cryptocurrency, or decentralized finance. The law sets a framework for future stablecoin regulation and prohibits interest-bearing stablecoins and prevents big tech and retail firms from issuing stablecoins without … Continue reading
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