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IRS Layoffs Stall Implementation of Republican-Backed Tax Simplification
Regulation

IRS Layoffs Stall Implementation of Republican-Backed Tax Simplification

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY• The Trump administration furloughed almost half of Internal Revenue Services (IRS) employees and issued 1,300 layoffs during the October 2025 shutdown.• The cuts have delayed implementation of the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), making Republicans’ tax-simplification effort appear inefficient and disorganized.• Businesses and individuals now face higher costs as they rely more on … Continue reading

Money Supply and the Current Account: Testing the Predictions of the AA-DD Model
Politics

Money Supply and the Current Account: Testing the Predictions of the AA-DD Model

Executive Summary:  As part of his rationale for increasing tariffs, President Trump has focused on the U.S.’s trade deficits. Experts have long debated whether trade deficits matter; some argue a trade deficit simply signals that the region is attractive to foreign investment and has strong consumer demand, while others have instead contended that a trade … Continue reading

The Impact of AI Efficiency Gains on National Debt and Gross Domestic Product 
Politics

The Impact of AI Efficiency Gains on National Debt and Gross Domestic Product 

Aryan Mirchandani  Executive Summary  Introduction  Historically, only a few technological innovations have created anticipation that rivals the likes of artificial intelligence, which has catapulted the first phase of the new productivity revolution. Proponents of AI argue that it will streamline workflows, enhance decision-making, and unlock rapid efficiencies across wide-ranging industries. The Trump Administration is making … Continue reading

Treasury Outlines OBBB Tax Implementation as Compliance Costs Remain Elevated
Regulation

Treasury Outlines OBBB Tax Implementation as Compliance Costs Remain Elevated

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY• Department of the Treasury briefed House of Representatives lawmakers on the schedule for rolling out tax provisions of the One, Big, Beautiful Bill (OBBB).• Internal Revenue Service (IRS) paperwork data show that core returns and schedules tied to these provisions require 3.5 billion hours and over $139 billion annually in compliance costs.• Compliance … Continue reading

Trump’s policies will increase home prices in a long-suffering housing market
Politics

Trump’s policies will increase home prices in a long-suffering housing market

Executive Summary   Introduction  There is a housing supply shortage in the United States which is skyrocketing home prices. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s Home Ownership Affordability Monitor reached 64 for the total U.S. market in May 2025. This is the lowest number on record and well below 100, the benchmark for “affordable.”   In January … Continue reading

Politics

The GENIUS Act Should Apply to Yield-Bearing Stablecoins As Well

Note this post was written July 11, 2025 and does not reflect subsequent developments. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION During the Biden administration, the SEC cracked down on cryptocurrencies by asserting that all tokens—regardless of their function—were unregistered securities. This aggressive stance left crypto issuers and exchanges in regulatory limbo. The SEC refused to issue clear rules … Continue reading

Debt / Economy / Technology

Stablecoin Issuers as a Growing Class of Treasury Buyers: Implications and Risks

Executive Summary  Introduction  Congress’ recent passage of the GENIUS Act, the first significant regulatory framework for stablecoins, opens the door for increased crossover between traditional finance and cryptocurrency, or decentralized finance. The law sets a framework for future stablecoin regulation and prohibits interest-bearing stablecoins and prevents big tech and retail firms from issuing stablecoins without … Continue reading

The Costs of Submarine Cable Disruptions to the United States
America / Energy

The Costs of Submarine Cable Disruptions to the United States

Executive Summary Introduction The buffer while you are binge-watching Netflix may be due to the disruption of submarine cables, which lie on the bottom of the sea floor. Submarine cables form the backbone of global digital and energy infrastructure, carrying 95% of international data traffic and supporting offshore energy operations. These cables are typically owned … Continue reading