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Regulating in the Dark: eSLR Reform Without Precedent
Banking / Financial Regulation

Regulating in the Dark: eSLR Reform Without Precedent

A June 27 joint proposal by the Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC to lower the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio (eSLR), a capital constraint on large banks, aims to remove regulatory disincentives to Treasury security intermediation. While myriad studies and analyses conclude that the eSLR disincentivizes intermediation, removing these constraints equally benefits competing low-risk activities that may offer higher returns. Banks may deploy freed capital toward higher-yielding activities rather than Treasury intermediation, potentially undermining the rule’s intended purpose. Continue reading

The Trade-Off Behind the Trade Deficit 
Economy / Tariffs / Trade

The Trade-Off Behind the Trade Deficit 

Executive Summary  Introduction  President Trump has long called for the U.S. to impose higher tariffs to reduce the trade deficit, which he has declared a national emergency. His administration announced unprecedented unilateral tariffs to reverse what it alleges are unfair trade practices. This strategy ignores the accounting principle known as the balance of payments: The … Continue reading

‘Golden share’ of U.S. Steel extends president’s reach into the private sector
Economy / National Security / Politics / Presidency

‘Golden share’ of U.S. Steel extends president’s reach into the private sector

Executive Summary  Introduction  On June 18, the Japanese firm Nippon Steel finalized a “historic partnership” with U.S. Steel (USS), acquiring the company for nearly $15 billion. This came after years of Biden and then Trump blocking the purchase due to national security concerns. The deal was finally allowed soon after President Trump was promised a … Continue reading

The Tech Industry’s Transition to 24/7 Carbon-Free Energy
Energy / Environment / Technology

The Tech Industry’s Transition to 24/7 Carbon-Free Energy

Executive Summary Introduction The digital economy is rapidly evolving due to artificial intelligence (AI), which is leading to an expansion of its energy footprint. Major technology companies, including Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, have led the private sector in consuming clean electricity, from purchasing renewable energy certificates (RECs) to utilizing 24/7 Carbon-Free Energy (CFE). A … Continue reading

The Real Price of Clean Air: Evidence from Ozone Emissions and U.S. Manufacturing
Environmental Regulation

The Real Price of Clean Air: Evidence from Ozone Emissions and U.S. Manufacturing

When the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) revised current ozone emission standards in 2015, the agency’s regulatory impact analysis failed to quantify production losses for manufacturing. This study leverages the EPA’s attainment threshold to show that current ozone regulations lower revenues for manufacturing firms by an average of $277 million annually. Findings indicate that the EPA’s impact analysis underestimates realized economic effects, generating both economic and regulatory policy implications. Continue reading

Impact of AI on Healthcare
Healthcare / Technology

Impact of AI on Healthcare

Executive Summary  Introduction  Artificial intelligence (AI) has had a large impact on healthcare by streamlining clinical workflows as well as medical research. Unlike many consumer-facing AI models such as ChatGPT, medical AI solutions are designed to assist with specific purposes such as electronic health record (EHR) documentation, radiological image analysis, and protein structure prediction. A … Continue reading

Gridlock ahead? Driving innovation in the autonomous vehicle market
Technology

Gridlock ahead? Driving innovation in the autonomous vehicle market

Executive Summary  Introduction  On May 20, robotaxi company Waymo announced that 10 million driverless rides had been purchased across four U.S. cities. Autonomous vehicle (AV) technology has the potential to reorder the future, improving safety and saving time and money for American consumers. However, this promising technology is impeded by a challenging regulatory environment in … Continue reading

House Bill Includes Costly Reforms to Health Reimbursement Arrangements & Health Savings Accounts
Politics

House Bill Includes Costly Reforms to Health Reimbursement Arrangements & Health Savings Accounts

Executive Summary  Introduction  On May 22, 2025, the House of Representatives passed a budget reconciliation bill – referred to as the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” – which includes many key provisions relating to health care policy. While the proposed changes to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act garner more public attention, the additional changes … Continue reading

America / Debt / Economy / Fiscal Cliff / Fiscal policy / Politics / Tariffs / Taxes / Trade / U.S. Domestic Policy

Recession Risk in 2025: A Weighted Logit Model with Policy Insights

An overheating economy, high policy uncertainty, and declining consumer confidence pose recession risks of 53 percent as of April 2025. This paper employs a weighted logit model to aid policymakers in early intervention. Key indicators include consumer expenditure, yield curve, disposable income, and economic policy uncertainty, enhancing prediction accuracy in recession modeling. Continue reading