Executive Summary Introduction Although President Trump has paused his April 2 “Liberation Day” tariffs for 90 days, he continues to threaten immanent sector-specific tariffs. The threatened sectors include pharmaceuticals, copper, lumber, semiconductors, chemicals and minerals, and energy, which combined account for roughly 20-percent of U.S. imports and include most products initially exempted from “Liberation Day” … Continue reading
Tag Archives: Economy
A Drop in Consumer Sentiment: Economic Consequences and Policy Impacts
Executive Summary Introduction The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) provides research and analyses to the Executive branch to inform policy directives. CEA Chair Stepehen Miran appeared on CNBC on March 25th amid economic uncertainty, stating he does not believe there is a strong relationship between consumer sentiment and consumer spending. Consumer sentiment is tracked in detail by … Continue reading
Firing The Government: Inside the Largest Federal Workforce Reduction in U.S. History
Executive Summary Introduction Since the beginning of 2025, sweeping layoffs across the federal government have resulted in the dismissal of over 30,000 employees. The primary sector of federal workers facing cuts are those in their probationary period. Civil servants remain on probation for one year after they are hired, promoted, or demoted. While on probation, … Continue reading
Rethinking Occupational Licensing: Breaking Barriers
Executive Summary Introduction Occupational licensing reform has gained traction at both state and federal levels in recent years, geared towards eradicating unnecessary barriers that restrict employment opportunities. Laws regarding licensure cover nearly one-third of the U.S. workforce, creating barriers to entry rather than a safeguard for the public interest. Although licensing raises the wages … Continue reading
Impact of Retail Electricity Deregulation on Consumer Prices: A Difference-in-Difference Approach
Executive Summary Introduction Electricity has become the most fundamental commodity in the United States. Its growing influence underpins nearly every major industry. It powers homes, infrastructure, and manufacturing. Innovation and technological development for the entire economy depends on efficient and reliable energy transmission. Utilities markets in the U.S. have historically been viewed as natural monopolies. … Continue reading
How Biden Helped to Create Trump’s Unilateral Trade Policy Process
Executive Summary Introduction Throughout his time in office, President Biden was a persistent advocate of innovative executive branch tactics to restrict trade volumes and capital flows in and out of the United States. While Biden did not engage in the brinkmanship negotiation strategies President Trump has used over the past month, he did use the … Continue reading
Debt / Economy / Fiscal policy / Trade
The Twin Deficit Hypothesis: An Analysis of the U.S.
Executive Summary Introduction Government deficits and the trade balance have seemed to fluctuate in tandem over time. This has given rise to theories connecting the two deficits to explain their relationship. U.S. fiscal deficits have ballooned in recent years, bringing renewed attention to the twin deficit hypothesis (TDH) and applying it to advanced economies. Modeling … Continue reading
The State of State Backed Insurance
Executive Summary Introduction The purpose of insurance is to mitigate the risks of a probable loss for consumers. Some consumers are inherently riskier to insure than others simply based off where they choose to live. This causes many property and casualty (P&C) insurers to demand higher rates or forego plans completely. In the instance a … Continue reading
Playing Chicken with a Coyote: Why the U.S. has Less Leverage over Mexico than Trump Believes
Executive Summary Introduction In the 1955 movie A Rebel Without a Cause, James Dean introduced Americans to the game of “chicken,” wherein two cars accelerate towards each other until one swerves. The swerving car’s driver is labeled the “chicken,” and the steady driver wins. Eighty years later, the game of chicken is not just a … Continue reading
Are the Elderly Hurt More by Inflation? A Glimpse Inside the Housing Market
Executive Summary Introduction The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the change in prices in a typical consumers basket. The elderly tend to consume a different bundle of goods compared to the typical consumer. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has introduced an experimental CPI, labeled CPI-E, to determine the relative importance of bundles for … Continue reading
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